I love to watch jets fly

How to finish off the rest of your wait in till Spring sparks
read this from SPC Publications
its a good read:


The Relation of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) to Winter Tornado Outbreaks

Coming across this paper earlier in the month and taking into account the Global Forecast Models (GFS) present. I brought both into a prediction that the jet stream will further shift northwards earlier into these next couple weeks making figure in the SPC Publication paper (March anomaly @ 250mb) a bit further ahead of schedule allowing for a better chance for the jet to settle over parts of the body of TX from Abilene through Dallas and eastward. It's a start

Nice squiggly short wave flyin through parts of Eastern New Mexico and Western Texas this Saturday with a lower level "somewhat" of a system as far as a chance for severe weather this coming weekend is concerned. Temps & progression of this system give little excitement yet to a eastern TX beginning development as it will move on towards the rest of the southeastern states.

Tues evening/Weds morning Florida in site

keeping a close eye on another system making its way into Florida again later in the week.....from the looks of today their was wind damage in Florida from NWS wind reports.

Here in Greeley, Colorado, Feb 4-5th have offered a spring like atmosphere around here with temps fairly teasing the sight of spring is on its way, but that will all change rapidly once the massive High Pressure bringing in cold artic air comes slamming into the Front Range early this next week.....

Florida slight risk for today

Thursday evening marine warnings were issued with the long prone squall bringing intense winds of 30- 50 kts off the Gulf coast. Florida panhandle is beginning to see the start to a rainy/windy/possible severe night/day. Will monitor throughout the day.....

a simple idea forecast #1

Thursday....Florida severe weather

My eyes on a system & Florida

In August 09 there was speculation of this El Nino occurring....diving into some articles explaining phenomena usually present in El Nino conditions I came across papers talking of interesting weather more prominent in Florida with these conditions. I have my heart on how this will unfold and see if there can be any sign of a pattern.

Looking anxiously and almost expectantly waiting for something to stick out and all I can get gittery about are the near closed off low in the North Pacific reaching near Cat 1 category hurricane pressure (now this does not mean it is considered a hurricane) and a low concentrated in the Gulf penentrating towards Florida with good characteristics of severe weather in the outlooks...with so many hours out in GFS this can only be better seen in later models put out at UCAR.

Upon looking later 180 hours out the low is intensely preparing for domination over California with the amount of moisture wrapping around the core of the low.

Happy New Year Everyone!

Hope all have a different year and for us weather enthusiasts to continue to ask themselves why they love their field of weather. It is our nature to have pride and want control its called humanism. Remember that we are blessed beyond belief to have an opportunity to enjoy every year full of blizzards, severe weather, hot dragging summer heat, and the list is infinite.... Keep in mind your passion in the case of meteorology......the only thing we should be aware of is to continue to protect life who cares about property....nature will do what it is going to do nothing you can really do about that.
I pray for everyone's safety, passion, joy, comfort, protection, and hope in the 2010 chase season. Its not the picture, its not the film, its not the closeness to fury, its not the money, its not about the best. It's about you and who you are and why we are out there wherever it may be. I am needed a reminder of this everyday.....
see you out their in the plains (severe weather fanatics)

currently monitoring this FL threat of torns....

Minutes before the cell moved over land there was no warning...than not even 5 minutes....a warning was put out on the cell moving over Panama City, FL.....


all ingredients create a very unstable atmosphere and perfect conditions for random spawning tornadoes as have been experienced in the past during the months that tornadoes shouldn't occur usually during the months of December/January.....but unfortunately Florida being the sunstate and the roaring low pressure system making its way across the south......self explanatory
CAPE, Helicity are scorching values over areas at Panama City to Tallahasee at the moment...