read this from SPC Publications
its a good read:
The Relation of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) to Winter Tornado Outbreaks
Coming across this paper earlier in the month and taking into account the Global Forecast Models (GFS) present. I brought both into a prediction that the jet stream will further shift northwards earlier into these next couple weeks making figure in the SPC Publication paper (March anomaly @ 250mb) a bit further ahead of schedule allowing for a better chance for the jet to settle over parts of the body of TX from Abilene through Dallas and eastward. It's a start
Nice squiggly short wave flyin through parts of Eastern New Mexico and Western Texas this Saturday with a lower level "somewhat" of a system as far as a chance for severe weather this coming weekend is concerned. Temps & progression of this system give little excitement yet to a eastern TX beginning development as it will move on towards the rest of the southeastern states.
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